Patch's Poll: Who Will Win the 2012 Presidential Election, Obama or Romney?

Now that the Democratic and Republican delegates have officially chosen their nominees, Patch wants to know: Who are you betting on?

It's official: With President Barack Obama's acceptance speech in Charlotte Thursday night, both the Republicans and Democrats have formally chosen their nominees for the 2012 presidential election. Let the real race begin.    

A lot can change between now and November 6: Gaffes, scandals or even major international news events could shift the dynamics of the campaign.   

The latest Gallup Polls show registered voters preferring Obama to Mitt Romney by just one percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. A USA Today/Gallup poll taken just before the party conventions found American voters think Obama is more likeable, but trust Romney more to handle the economy.

Pundits have been busy for months handicapping the major-party candidates on various factors: incumbent advantage, fundraising clout, even religion.

Patch wants to know: Regardless of who you support for President, who do you think will actually claim victory in November?

Vote in our poll below, and let us know your reasoning in the comments.

George September 07, 2012 at 04:59 PM
I can see Barbara and others have begun drinking the cool-aid already...stop parroting the Dem attack ads and think for yourself...just look at the record of the last 4 years...nothing is better...unless your on welfare or you're here illegally!! Government doesn't create jobs in the private sector...investors do. Government, through it's policies, can either encourage growth or inhibit it!! Look around...what do you see?? Growth or stagnation? It's time for a change!
Catherine Hutchinson September 07, 2012 at 05:03 PM
No, I am not on welfare, but actually in the fall of 2008 had to leave a lucrative job in sales because Bush had already started this mess we are in in a big way! I remember very well....
Catherine Hutchinson September 07, 2012 at 05:05 PM
Let us not forget the statements made early on with our Republican Minority leader...it is our goal over the next few years to make this president a one term president....and that is exactly what their goal has been from day one...forget passing any bills to help the average American....lets get this guy out of here!!! And that my friend is a FACT!
Catherine Hutchinson September 07, 2012 at 05:14 PM
His name is Mitch McConnell by the way...google his main priorities if you need to hear it yourself!
George September 07, 2012 at 05:26 PM
Gee...what a surprise...the opposition leader wants to defeat a political opponent!! Try to remember that the Dems took over Congress in 2006 and upon Obama's election, they totally controlled all of the government for his 1st 2 years. Instead of focusing on jobs and the economy, he worked to pass Obama-care and an 850 billion dollar spending plan that lined the pockets of his political supporters such as Solyndra, most of which took the money and ran! Where was the infrastructure investments, the "shovel-ready" jobs?? You can rant about Mitch McConnell all you want, but the guy had no power back then. Follow the money dear...follow the money!
Catherine Hutchinson September 07, 2012 at 05:31 PM
Ever heard of fillabuster??? That went on in the Senate AND congress....no thank you, I back morals over money!!! Still can't admit that the Republicans care more about party than people though can you...
George September 07, 2012 at 05:46 PM
Check your facts Catherine...the Senate was fillabuster-proof for Obama until Scott Brown was elected to the "Kennedy" seat following his death. You can't just start paying attention at election time and then make a cogent arguement...please do a little research first.
Catherine Hutchinson September 07, 2012 at 05:57 PM
Yes, they did....for about 14 weeks, which is not enough time to get much done at all, especially facing what he was facing....oh well, you have your views and I have mine...still chose morality over $.
Catherine Hutchinson September 07, 2012 at 06:00 PM
Well, let's at least get our history straight. Until Al Franken was sworn in on July 7, the Democratic caucus in the Senate stood at 59. After that it was technically up to 60, but Ted Kennedy hadn't cast a vote in months and was housebound due to illness. He died a few weeks later and was replaced by Paul Kirk on September 24, finally bringing the Democratic majority up to 60 in practice as well as theory. After that the Senate was in session for 11 weeks before taking its winter recess, followed by three weeks until Scott Brown won Kennedy's seat in the Massachusetts special election. So that means Democrats had an effective filibuster-proof majority for about 14 weeks. Did they squander it? I guess you can make that case, but there's a very limited amount you can do in the Senate in 14 weeks. Given the reality of what it takes to move legislation through committee and onto the floor (keeping in mind that the filibuster isn't the minority party's only way to slow things down), I think you might make the case, at most, that a single additional piece of legislation could have been forced through during that period. But probably not much more than that. Democrats basically had a filibuster-proof majority for about three months. That's just not very long.
Emily September 07, 2012 at 06:24 PM
Lets not forget the words of our esteemed speaker Ms. Pelosi. "But we have to pass the bill so you can find out what is in it, away from the fog of the controversy" Passing a bill before reading it should be capitol crime punishable by execution. That's not a joke!
snookie1917 September 07, 2012 at 07:19 PM
I do believe with a couple of statements- the price of gas would drop 40%-like We are going to release our oil reserves or we are going to take the speculators out of the market- if you cannot take delivery- you cannot bid- they all talked about it 2 years ago- but no one did anything about- just like they say at a square dance- time to change partners!
Catherine Hutchinson September 07, 2012 at 07:26 PM
Snookie...that is because Congress would not allow it...
Dean Garr September 07, 2012 at 10:16 PM
Great scene in the movie American President, "This is a time for serious people, Bob, and your fifteen minutes are up. My name is Andrew Shepherd, and I *am* the President." Last night President Obama declared, "I *am* the president." And put Mr. Romney on notice: Mr. Romney, your fifteen minutes are up.
MAC September 08, 2012 at 12:13 AM
If you are undecided, or planning to vote for Obama,see the movie "2016: Obama's America" and you will know why Barack Obama's wants a DIMINISHED USA. www.2016themovie.com/theaters/ (over 20 theaters in CT) You will also understand why most of what he said last night is the exact opposite of what Obama believes--that he believes in "the collective" rather than rugged American individualism! Did you notice that he actually said the words "Providence" and "Endowed by our Creator," which latter he has heretofore refused to utter when citing the "Declaration of Independence"? That was part of his massive deceit again last night, as O really believes in "One nation under Obama," with UNLIMITED power for him!!! As in unrestrained by anything in the U.S. Constitution, by Congress, or by "We the People." Obama's "greatest hoax ever perpetrated upon the American people" was to get elected, as a totally unprepared "community organizer" whom well-intentioned (but uninformed) voters put all their "hopes" on to be the "change" he promised in his oratory in 2008. Those "hopes" have been completely dashed by an unqualified masked man. "2016: The Movie" takes off that "mask" Obama wears! Americans are waking up, and are going to vote in "America's Comeback Team" of Romney/Ryan!!!
Teri September 08, 2012 at 01:05 AM
Somebody should be asking questions about Obama and what qualifies him to govern us. Does anyone bother to look into him and what his motives are? Romney wasn't my first choice for nominee but he doesn't frighten me. Obama does.
Teri September 08, 2012 at 01:11 AM
And you think dems care. They only care about being in power. The 'care' they are giving is to get as many people as they need on Government assistance, it gets them votes. If we don't wake up SOON, we are going to find ourselves with dictators. Obama has already practiced some of those traits.
George September 08, 2012 at 01:50 AM
Actually Catherine, from April 2009 until Feb 4th 2010 (Scott Browns swearing in) the Republicans never had more than 40 votes...keep in mind that the 2 Independants in the Senate, Joe Leiberman and Bernie Sanders caucused and voted with the Dems, effectively giving the Dems and Obama a filibuster-proof Senate for nearly a year. Certainly considerably longer than 14 weeks!
charles September 08, 2012 at 02:57 AM
When Democrats left office in 2001 under Bill Clinton and Al gore, there was no deficit; there was a surplus. Bush tax cuts, and the Iraq and Afghanistan Wars put us back into debt. The Republicans put us into this mess, and now are blaming President Obama. Get the facts. Romney/Ryan will raise taxes for the middle class to benefit the rich, and put us into even more debt. Romney/Ryan will give Medicare to the private insurance companies, whose number one goal is to make money. Romney/Ryan will repeal the Affordable Care Act, which will take away the ability of so many American families to have the coverage they need. Lastly, Romney/Ryan will appoint a conservative Supreme Court, overturning Roe vs. Wade, and and conservatively interpreting fundamental rights. Vote Obama/Biden!
charles September 08, 2012 at 02:59 AM
Exactly right. Candidates involved in the VP vetting process stated that they submitted several years of tax returns to the campaign. Why can't Romney/Ryan release their tax returns, so we can make the same judgement that their campaign did?
Teri September 08, 2012 at 03:26 AM
Charles, just out of curiosity, where did you get your info about Romney/Ryan raising taxes on the middle class? You think that just because Obama said it makes it so. He is the biggest liar of all. he stands in front of us giving his speeches and people swoon over him. It actually makes me sick. Have you read the many taxes built into the 'affordable care act'? I want it repealed. I for one don't want to pay higher premiums to cover ins for someone else. Frankly, I don't care about romneys tax returns or that he makes or has made a fortune. I only care that he can do a much better job than Obama.
Catherine Hutchinson September 08, 2012 at 05:15 AM
Thank your Charles...FINALLY an intellegent comment here!
Kaptainsteve September 08, 2012 at 10:31 AM
You need to face the truth folks. Both Obama & Romney are the same. There is no substantive difference between the two. Both are supported and financed by the big giant corrupt banksters at Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan/Chase and both support the tyranny of our currency that is the Federal Reserve.. Vote for either puppet and you lose. P.S. to the O-bot above who claimed that the CIA creation called Obama didn't raise taxes, I guess you forgot about the 3.8% tax on ALL home sales over 250k that is hidden in ObamaCare just to name one. Who does this affect the worst? You guessed it, the working middle class. And, to the Rom-bots, did you know that Romney supports a VAT tax? This is a 15% (or figure to be named later) tax applied at diff. stages of the production/sale process on all things bought or sold in the U.S. Who will it affect the worst? You guessed it, the working middle class. The platform for both candidates is the same. They will both support their bankster friends. Both will keep the Fed/Treasury printing money with bailouts, bond buy-backs and more QE's and both will keep the working middle class poor through the invisible inflation tax that this creates. And, we can be sure of a few more wars (WW3 anyone?) if things get really ugly to unify us up with a common cause and make us forget about the unemployment, poverty and TSA/NSA abuse here at home during the beginning of what is rapidly becoming the Greatest World Depression ever.
Kaptainsteve September 08, 2012 at 11:25 PM
Both candidates support or have supported each of the following; Tarp, deficit (Keynesian) spending and massive debt. Bankster/Auto Bailouts NDAA/TSA/Patriot Act and ignoring the 4th Amendment. War On Drugs (or the CIA monopoly on drug smuggling). Militarizing Africa (Liberia, Somalia, etc). Drones (Overseas and now, domestic). Protecting Corrupt Banksters friends (Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan/Chase, etc). ObamaCare/RomneyCare (the same thing, from Heritage Foundation blueprint) Both Against Auditing Federal Reserve (their bankster friends at G.S.). Both approved of Treasury Secretary, Tim (Goldman Sachs) Geithner and probably the next crook in line Jamie (JP Morgan/Chase) Dimon. Both like the VAT Tax. All agree on increasing the national debt (Ryan's plan does NOT cut it AT ALL). Neither have military experience. Both agree that the president can act unilaterally to take the country to war without Congressional approval IN VIOLATION OF THE CONSTITUTION. Both agree in humanitarian foreign intervention without consent of Congress. Both agree in attacking Iran if it has nukes (however that's determined, remember WMD's?). Both supported the 30,000 surge in Afghanistan. Neither believe in closing Gitmo or ending indefinite detention of "enemies." http://ivn.us/2012/07/17/100-ways-mitt-romney-is-just-like-barack-obama/
Tom September 12, 2012 at 10:38 PM
george please be factual and honest when you talk about the defecit at the start of Bush term. you are correct there indeed was a surplus, but the forecast prior to him taking office called for a 350b defecit after his 1st year and 500b the next. Also if you would bother to check 2 of the final 6 quarters of the Clinton economy had negative gdp growth why do people forget the fact that the economy in 2001 1st 2 quarters was very weak on the verge of recession and we get hit with 9/11 actually many serious economist credit Bushs tax policy with keeping us out of a serious recession during the first 18 months of the administration. Please lets not be selective in looking at the past. you can take him over the coals in regards to the war or wars but alot of of people on both sides went the same way.
Teri September 13, 2012 at 12:27 AM
Obama has burried 21 new taxes into the Obamacare bill. Does anyone remember the financial meltdown started in 2007 when the Dems took both houses and started the barney frank and chris dodd. if they are not removed from washington, it will get worse.
Teri September 13, 2012 at 12:34 AM
sorry, was typing in a hurry. above i meant to say the meltdown started in 2007. Barney Frank took over the Financial Services Committee and Dodd took over the banking committee.
George September 13, 2012 at 02:42 AM
Tom...not sure what you're reading but I never talked about the Bush or Clinton economy...
George September 14, 2012 at 03:38 PM
Terri is absolutely correct...and now we have a foreign policy meltdown in the Middle East. After cutting Mubarak loose and supporting the "arab spring", and supporting the rebels in Libya with the famous "leading from behind", we are now reaping the rewards...the Muslim brotherhood has taken charge in Egypt and 4 Americans, including our ambassador, are dead in Libya! And this guy doesn't have time to meet with the Israeli prime minister because he has a date with David Letterman!!! And the sycophants in the media continue to give him a pass rather than ask the tough questions...imagine reporters' questions if a Republican was in the White House! The only bunch more embarassing than this administration is the media that helped elect him and continues to swoon all over him!!
Stacy Estrada October 20, 2012 at 08:30 AM
i do believe that there will be more jobs because mit robney is a business man and but in oredr for that to be their is going to be lots of deaths a lot of older americans receiving medicare and medicaid for their health and babys and childrens receiving medical or healthy families will be dying with medication problems who we pay taxes in so obviosly the population will be going down but i honestly perfer paying more taxes for thoose people in need so there for ill vote for obama all the way you wont be seeing changes in 4 yrs cause he has to clean a mess from the president before ummm who was he oh yeah republican and about receiving your kids tuition funds in taxes back u all ready do with obama
Emily October 20, 2012 at 08:46 AM
Charles, You like all your Bush hating friends never seem to mention one important thing. It is true that when GW took office the economy was on an up-tick and that was the case through-out the beginning of President Bush's first year. Then we had the largest terrorist attack on US soil. The attacks on September 11, 2001. Remember that? The financial crisis began that day. You can talk about the wars like GW just started them with no reason but America wanted blood and Congress and the President did what the citizens wanted at the time.


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